20,000-30,000 Daesh fighters left in Iraq, Syria — UN report

UNITED NATIONS, United States  — Between 20,000 and 30,000 Daesh fighters remain in Iraq and Syria despite the jihadist group's defeat, and a halt in the flow of foreigners joining its ranks, according to a UN report released on Monday.

The report by UN sanctions monitors estimates that between 3,000 and 4,000 Daesh jihadists were based in Libya while some of the key operatives in the extremist group were being relocated to Afghanistan.

Member-states told the monitors that the total Daesh membership in Iraq and Syria was "between 20,000 and 30,000 individuals, roughly equally distributed between the two countries".

"Among these is still a significant component of the many thousands of active foreign terrorist fighters," said the report.

The sanctions monitoring team submits independent reports every six months to the Security Council on Daesh and Al-Qaeda, which are on the UN terrorist blacklist.

Daesh once controlled large swathes of territory in Iraq and Syria, but last year it was driven out of Mosul and Raqqa — the twin seats of power of the Sunni extremist group.

By January 2018, Daesh was confined to small pockets of territory in Syria, although the report said the group "showed greater resilience" in eastern Syria.

Daesh "is still able to mount attacks inside Syrian territory. It does not fully control any territory in Iraq, but it remains active through sleeper cells" of agents hiding out in the desert and elsewhere, said the report.

Some member-states raised concerns about new Daesh cells emerging from the densely populated Rukban camp for internally displaced persons in southern Syria, on the border with Jordan, where families of Daesh fighters are now living.

Relocating to Afghanistan

The flow of foreigners leaving Daesh "remains lower than expected" and no other arena has emerged as a favourite destination for foreign fighters, although "significant numbers have made their way to Afghanistan", said the report.

There are an estimated 3,500-4,500 Daesh fighters in Afghanistan and those numbers are increasing, according to the report.

The flow of foreign fighters toward Daesh "has essentially come to a halt", it added.

Daesh finances are drying up, with one member-state estimating that its total reserves were "in the low hundreds of millions" of US dollars. Some revenue from oil fields in northeastern Syria continues to flow to Daesh.

Daesh commands only 250 to 500 members in Yemen, compared to between 6,000 and 7,000 fighters for Al Qaeda.

In the Sahel, Daesh in the Greater Sahara is active mostly at the border between Mali and Niger but has less of a foothold than the Al Qaeda-linked Jamaat Nusrat Al Islam wal-Muslimin.

The Al Qaeda-linked Shabaab dominates in Somalia but the report said that Daesh "has the strategic intent to expand to central and southern Somalia". Some Somali Daesh fighters may choose to relocate to Puntland, said the report.