NFL Playoffs: Playoff chances for every team after Week 10

The biggest winners and losers from Week 10 in the NFL.

The Cardinals edged the Bills in a thriller, the Eagles stumbled to blow open the NFC East, and the Titans beat the Colts in a pivotal divisional matchup – but how did each of those Week 10 results affect the current 2020 NFL playoff picture?

To determine which teams have the best chance of making the playoffs in 2020, we crunched the numbers from the most recent playoff models from three major outlets – ESPN’s FPI, Five Thirty Eight and Football Outsiders. Each team is ranked in order of their average projected chance to qualify for the playoffs. We’ve also include each divisional contender’s chance to win their respective division.

Big winners: Colts, Raiders, Rams

The Colts took control of the AFC South with an impressive win on Thursday night. The Raiders are hanging around in the Wild Card race, while in the wild NFC West, the Rams, Seahawks and Cardinals all have a virtually equal shot to take the division.

Big losers: Bears, Titans, Eagles

The Bears lost a third consecutive game to drop to 5-5, and their playoff chances plunged by 23.4 percent. The Titans’ loss to the Colts dropped their playoff chances to 60.4%, while the Eagles’ loss to the Giants has created a wide-open, four-way race to find out which NFC team is the least awful.

We’re eliminating three more teams from playoff contention this week: The Panthers (0.7%), Texans (0.6%) and Broncos (0.5%). They have not yet been mathematically eliminated from the playoffs, but they join the Jets (0%), Jaguars (0%), Falcons (0.4%), Bengals (0.3%) and Chargers (0.4%) as teams with a playoff probability of under one percent.