George Will: Clinton's path to White House similar to Reagan's in '80
Regarding the threshold that matters most — 270 electoral votes — she would not trade places with her opponent.
Since 1976, Florida, today's largest swing state, has been somewhat more Republican than the nation.
Clinton now is in a statistical tie there (in the Real Clear Politics average of polls), where the Hispanic vote is growing and moving left.
In a competitive election, their deep cultural antipathy toward Donald Trump might swing 11 electoral votes.
If Arizona becomes a presidential battleground this year, it will validate The Atlantic's Ron Brownstein's analysis that any Trump gains for the GOP among white blue-collar votes in Rust Belt states may be more than matched by Clinton gains among minorities and persons with college educations in Sunbelt states and elsewhere.
They are eager to bring presidential power back within constitutional constraints, and Kaine is among the small minority of national legislators interested in increased congressional involvement in authorizing the use of military force.