With the 2026 MLB campaign approaching, a few teams stand out for aggressively strengthening their rosters. The Dodgers and Mets, undeterred by luxury tax implications, are making bold investments that are transforming the league's competitive landscape. Their high-profile acquisitions have noticeably altered the balance of power for the upcoming season. This has created what I like to call a "Superteam Distortion"—fans and bettors are piling onto the Over for sky-high win totals (think 100+ for LA, 90+ for the Mets), swept up by big names rather than the real odds. Our analysis shows that the marginal utility of each additional dollar spent decreases quickly, and the regression risks...
